Xsabx Fund Chance of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.52

XSABX Fund   10.18  0.18  1.80%   
Xsabx's future price is the expected price of Xsabx instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Xsabx performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Xsabx Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Xsabx Correlation, Xsabx Hype Analysis, Xsabx Volatility, Xsabx History as well as Xsabx Performance.
  
Please specify Xsabx's target price for which you would like Xsabx odds to be computed.

Xsabx Target Price Odds to finish below 9.52

The tendency of Xsabx Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  9.52  or more in 90 days
 10.18 90 days 9.52 
about 42.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xsabx to drop to  9.52  or more in 90 days from now is about 42.79 (This Xsabx probability density function shows the probability of Xsabx Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xsabx price to stay between  9.52  and its current price of 10.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.07 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Xsabx has a beta of -0.0772. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Xsabx are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Xsabx is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Xsabx has an alpha of 0.1403, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Xsabx Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Xsabx

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xsabx. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.6110.1810.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.4910.0610.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Xsabx. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Xsabx's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Xsabx's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Xsabx.

Xsabx Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xsabx is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xsabx's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xsabx, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xsabx within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

Xsabx Technical Analysis

Xsabx's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xsabx Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xsabx. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xsabx Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Xsabx Predictive Forecast Models

Xsabx's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xsabx's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xsabx's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Xsabx in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Xsabx's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Xsabx options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Xsabx Mutual Fund

Xsabx financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xsabx Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xsabx with respect to the benefits of owning Xsabx security.
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