Xinyi Solar Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 9.13

XISHY Stock  USD 8.20  0.10  1.23%   
Xinyi Solar's future price is the expected price of Xinyi Solar instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Xinyi Solar Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Xinyi Solar Backtesting, Xinyi Solar Valuation, Xinyi Solar Correlation, Xinyi Solar Hype Analysis, Xinyi Solar Volatility, Xinyi Solar History as well as Xinyi Solar Performance.
  
Please specify Xinyi Solar's target price for which you would like Xinyi Solar odds to be computed.

Xinyi Solar Target Price Odds to finish over 9.13

The tendency of Xinyi Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 9.13  or more in 90 days
 8.20 90 days 9.13 
about 39.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xinyi Solar to move over $ 9.13  or more in 90 days from now is about 39.32 (This Xinyi Solar Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Xinyi Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xinyi Solar Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 8.20  and $ 9.13  at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.19 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Xinyi Solar Holdings has a beta of -0.28. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Xinyi Solar are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Xinyi Solar Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Xinyi Solar Holdings has an alpha of 0.3199, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Xinyi Solar Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Xinyi Solar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xinyi Solar Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.898.2013.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.217.5212.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.829.1314.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.618.589.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Xinyi Solar. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Xinyi Solar's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Xinyi Solar's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Xinyi Solar Holdings.

Xinyi Solar Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xinyi Solar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xinyi Solar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xinyi Solar Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xinyi Solar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.28
σ
Overall volatility
1.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Xinyi Solar Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xinyi Solar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xinyi Solar Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Xinyi Solar Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Xinyi Solar Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xinyi Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xinyi Solar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xinyi Solar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.9 B

Xinyi Solar Technical Analysis

Xinyi Solar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xinyi Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xinyi Solar Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xinyi Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Xinyi Solar Predictive Forecast Models

Xinyi Solar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xinyi Solar's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xinyi Solar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Xinyi Solar Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Xinyi Solar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xinyi Solar Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Xinyi Solar Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Xinyi Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Xinyi Solar's price analysis, check to measure Xinyi Solar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xinyi Solar is operating at the current time. Most of Xinyi Solar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xinyi Solar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xinyi Solar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xinyi Solar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.