VIENNA INSURANCE (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 28.08
| WSV2 Stock | EUR 30.25 0.10 0.33% |
VIENNA |
VIENNA INSURANCE Target Price Odds to finish below 28.08
The tendency of VIENNA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 28.08 or more in 90 days |
| 30.25 | 90 days | 28.08 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VIENNA INSURANCE to drop to € 28.08 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This VIENNA INSURANCE GR probability density function shows the probability of VIENNA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VIENNA INSURANCE price to stay between € 28.08 and its current price of €30.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VIENNA INSURANCE GR has a beta of -0.26. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding VIENNA INSURANCE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, VIENNA INSURANCE GR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally VIENNA INSURANCE GR has an alpha of 0.0095, implying that it can generate a 0.009542 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). VIENNA INSURANCE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VIENNA INSURANCE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VIENNA INSURANCE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VIENNA INSURANCE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VIENNA INSURANCE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VIENNA INSURANCE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VIENNA INSURANCE GR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VIENNA INSURANCE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
VIENNA INSURANCE Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VIENNA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VIENNA INSURANCE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VIENNA INSURANCE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 128 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0581 | |
| Short Term Investments | 25.8 B |
VIENNA INSURANCE Technical Analysis
VIENNA INSURANCE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VIENNA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VIENNA INSURANCE GR. In general, you should focus on analyzing VIENNA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VIENNA INSURANCE Predictive Forecast Models
VIENNA INSURANCE's time-series forecasting models is one of many VIENNA INSURANCE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VIENNA INSURANCE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards VIENNA INSURANCE in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, VIENNA INSURANCE's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from VIENNA INSURANCE options trading.
Additional Tools for VIENNA Stock Analysis
When running VIENNA INSURANCE's price analysis, check to measure VIENNA INSURANCE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VIENNA INSURANCE is operating at the current time. Most of VIENNA INSURANCE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VIENNA INSURANCE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VIENNA INSURANCE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VIENNA INSURANCE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.