Wsp Global Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 246.59

WSP Stock  CAD 252.79  4.94  1.99%   
WSP Global's future price is the expected price of WSP Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of WSP Global performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out WSP Global Backtesting, WSP Global Valuation, WSP Global Correlation, WSP Global Hype Analysis, WSP Global Volatility, WSP Global History as well as WSP Global Performance.
  
At this time, WSP Global's Price Fair Value is very stable compared to the past year. Please specify WSP Global's target price for which you would like WSP Global odds to be computed.

WSP Global Target Price Odds to finish below 246.59

The tendency of WSP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 246.59  or more in 90 days
 252.79 90 days 246.59 
about 73.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WSP Global to drop to C$ 246.59  or more in 90 days from now is about 73.45 (This WSP Global probability density function shows the probability of WSP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of WSP Global price to stay between C$ 246.59  and its current price of C$252.79 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon WSP Global has a beta of 0.3. This entails as returns on the market go up, WSP Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding WSP Global will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally WSP Global has an alpha of 0.1148, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   WSP Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for WSP Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WSP Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
247.30248.28249.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
184.91185.89272.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
254.06255.04256.02
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.941.992.03
Details

WSP Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WSP Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WSP Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WSP Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WSP Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
8.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

WSP Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WSP Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WSP Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WSP Global is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: WSP Global 5-Day RSI 67.66 - GuruFocus.com

WSP Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of WSP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential WSP Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WSP Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding125 M
Cash And Short Term Investments501.1 M

WSP Global Technical Analysis

WSP Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WSP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WSP Global. In general, you should focus on analyzing WSP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

WSP Global Predictive Forecast Models

WSP Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many WSP Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WSP Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about WSP Global

Checking the ongoing alerts about WSP Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WSP Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WSP Global is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: WSP Global 5-Day RSI 67.66 - GuruFocus.com

Other Information on Investing in WSP Stock

WSP Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether WSP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WSP with respect to the benefits of owning WSP Global security.