Wirecard Ag Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 50.51

WRCDF Stock  USD 0.01  0.00  0.00%   
Wirecard's future price is the expected price of Wirecard instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wirecard AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wirecard Backtesting, Wirecard Valuation, Wirecard Correlation, Wirecard Hype Analysis, Wirecard Volatility, Wirecard History as well as Wirecard Performance.
  
Please specify Wirecard's target price for which you would like Wirecard odds to be computed.

Wirecard Target Price Odds to finish over 50.51

The tendency of Wirecard Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 50.51  or more in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 50.51 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wirecard to move over $ 50.51  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Wirecard AG probability density function shows the probability of Wirecard Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wirecard AG price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01  and $ 50.51  at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.69 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 68.85 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Wirecard will likely underperform. In addition to that Wirecard AG has an alpha of 146.9627, implying that it can generate a 146.96 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Wirecard Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wirecard

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wirecard AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wirecard's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0150.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0150.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00010.01124.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.01
Details

Wirecard Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wirecard is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wirecard's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wirecard AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wirecard within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
146.96
β
Beta against Dow Jones68.85
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Wirecard Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wirecard for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wirecard AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wirecard AG is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Wirecard AG has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Wirecard AG appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Wirecard Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wirecard Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wirecard's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wirecard's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding123.6 M

Wirecard Technical Analysis

Wirecard's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wirecard Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wirecard AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wirecard Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wirecard Predictive Forecast Models

Wirecard's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wirecard's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wirecard's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wirecard AG

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wirecard for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wirecard AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wirecard AG is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Wirecard AG has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Wirecard AG appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Other Information on Investing in Wirecard Pink Sheet

Wirecard financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wirecard Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wirecard with respect to the benefits of owning Wirecard security.