Welcia Holdings Co Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 21.5

WLCGFDelisted Stock  USD 21.50  0.00  0.00%   
Welcia Holdings' future price is the expected price of Welcia Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Welcia Holdings Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
  
Please specify Welcia Holdings' target price for which you would like Welcia Holdings odds to be computed.

Welcia Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 21.5

The tendency of Welcia Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 21.50 90 days 21.50 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Welcia Holdings to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Welcia Holdings Co probability density function shows the probability of Welcia Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Welcia Holdings Co has a beta of -0.0307. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Welcia Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Welcia Holdings Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Welcia Holdings Co has an alpha of 0.0149, implying that it can generate a 0.0149 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Welcia Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Welcia Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Welcia Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.5021.5021.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.2118.2123.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.4921.4921.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.2221.3721.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Welcia Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Welcia Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Welcia Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Welcia Holdings.

Welcia Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Welcia Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Welcia Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Welcia Holdings Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Welcia Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.59

Welcia Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Welcia Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Welcia Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Welcia Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Welcia Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Welcia Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Welcia Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Welcia Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Welcia Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding208.6 M

Welcia Holdings Technical Analysis

Welcia Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Welcia Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Welcia Holdings Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Welcia Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Welcia Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Welcia Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Welcia Holdings' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Welcia Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Welcia Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Welcia Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Welcia Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Welcia Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Welcia Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

Other Consideration for investing in Welcia Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Welcia Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Welcia Holdings' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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