Wilhelmina Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.08

WHLM Stock  USD 4.13  0.05  1.20%   
Wilhelmina's future price is the expected price of Wilhelmina instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wilhelmina performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wilhelmina Backtesting, Wilhelmina Valuation, Wilhelmina Correlation, Wilhelmina Hype Analysis, Wilhelmina Volatility, Wilhelmina History as well as Wilhelmina Performance.
To learn how to invest in Wilhelmina Stock, please use our How to Invest in Wilhelmina guide.
  
At this time, Wilhelmina's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 20th of December 2024, Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to grow to 41.31, while Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 36.69. Please specify Wilhelmina's target price for which you would like Wilhelmina odds to be computed.

Wilhelmina Target Price Odds to finish below 4.08

The tendency of Wilhelmina Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 4.08  or more in 90 days
 4.13 90 days 4.08 
about 71.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wilhelmina to drop to $ 4.08  or more in 90 days from now is about 71.04 (This Wilhelmina probability density function shows the probability of Wilhelmina Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wilhelmina price to stay between $ 4.08  and its current price of $4.13 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Wilhelmina has a beta of 0.0538. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wilhelmina average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wilhelmina will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wilhelmina has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Wilhelmina Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wilhelmina

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wilhelmina. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.294.157.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.453.316.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.113.976.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.774.014.24
Details

Wilhelmina Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wilhelmina is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wilhelmina's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wilhelmina, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wilhelmina within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Wilhelmina Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wilhelmina for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wilhelmina can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wilhelmina generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Wilhelmina has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: US Penny Stocks To Watch 3 Picks With Market Caps Under 80M

Wilhelmina Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wilhelmina Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wilhelmina's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wilhelmina's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments12.7 M

Wilhelmina Technical Analysis

Wilhelmina's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wilhelmina Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wilhelmina. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wilhelmina Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wilhelmina Predictive Forecast Models

Wilhelmina's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wilhelmina's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wilhelmina's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wilhelmina

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wilhelmina for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wilhelmina help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wilhelmina generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Wilhelmina has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: US Penny Stocks To Watch 3 Picks With Market Caps Under 80M
When determining whether Wilhelmina is a strong investment it is important to analyze Wilhelmina's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Wilhelmina's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Wilhelmina Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Wilhelmina Backtesting, Wilhelmina Valuation, Wilhelmina Correlation, Wilhelmina Hype Analysis, Wilhelmina Volatility, Wilhelmina History as well as Wilhelmina Performance.
To learn how to invest in Wilhelmina Stock, please use our How to Invest in Wilhelmina guide.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wilhelmina. If investors know Wilhelmina will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Wilhelmina listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.41)
Earnings Share
0.11
Revenue Per Share
3.296
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.022
Return On Assets
0.0124
The market value of Wilhelmina is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wilhelmina that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wilhelmina's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wilhelmina's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wilhelmina's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wilhelmina's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wilhelmina's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wilhelmina is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wilhelmina's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.