Teton Vertible Securities Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.87

WESRX Fund  USD 13.25  0.01  0.08%   
Teton Vertible's future price is the expected price of Teton Vertible instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Teton Vertible Securities performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Teton Vertible Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Teton Vertible Correlation, Teton Vertible Hype Analysis, Teton Vertible Volatility, Teton Vertible History as well as Teton Vertible Performance.
  
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Teton Vertible Target Price Odds to finish over 12.87

The tendency of Teton Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 12.87  in 90 days
 13.25 90 days 12.87 
about 31.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Teton Vertible to stay above $ 12.87  in 90 days from now is about 31.59 (This Teton Vertible Securities probability density function shows the probability of Teton Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Teton Vertible Securities price to stay between $ 12.87  and its current price of $13.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.4 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Teton Vertible has a beta of 0.57. This entails as returns on the market go up, Teton Vertible average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Teton Vertible Securities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Teton Vertible Securities has an alpha of 0.1094, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Teton Vertible Price Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.1510.1310.6411.1511.5912.112.5312.8713.2513.6314.07Current PriceTargetTeton Vertible Mean 0.20.40.60.8
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Teton Vertible

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teton Vertible Securities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.7113.2513.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.6013.1413.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.4613.0013.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.1813.3113.44
Details

Teton Vertible Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Teton Vertible is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Teton Vertible's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Teton Vertible Securities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Teton Vertible within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Teton Vertible Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Teton Vertible for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Teton Vertible Securities can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -2.0%
Teton Vertible Securities keeps most of the net assets in exotic instruments.

Teton Vertible Technical Analysis

Teton Vertible's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Teton Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Teton Vertible Securities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Teton Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Teton Vertible Predictive Forecast Models

Teton Vertible's time-series forecasting models is one of many Teton Vertible's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Teton Vertible's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Teton Vertible Securities

Checking the ongoing alerts about Teton Vertible for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Teton Vertible Securities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -2.0%
Teton Vertible Securities keeps most of the net assets in exotic instruments.

Other Information on Investing in Teton Mutual Fund

Teton Vertible financial ratios help investors to determine whether Teton Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Teton with respect to the benefits of owning Teton Vertible security.
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