Wealthbuilder Conservative Allocation Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.97
| WCAFX Fund | USD 8.93 0.04 0.45% |
Wealthbuilder |
Wealthbuilder Conservative Target Price Odds to finish below 8.97
The tendency of Wealthbuilder Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 8.97 after 90 days |
| 8.93 | 90 days | 8.97 | about 90.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wealthbuilder Conservative to stay under $ 8.97 after 90 days from now is about 90.29 (This Wealthbuilder Conservative Allocation probability density function shows the probability of Wealthbuilder Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wealthbuilder Conservative price to stay between its current price of $ 8.93 and $ 8.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.82 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Wealthbuilder Conservative has a beta of 0.23. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wealthbuilder Conservative average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wealthbuilder Conservative Allocation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wealthbuilder Conservative Allocation has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Wealthbuilder Conservative Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Wealthbuilder Conservative
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wealthbuilder Conservative. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wealthbuilder Conservative Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wealthbuilder Conservative is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wealthbuilder Conservative's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wealthbuilder Conservative Allocation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wealthbuilder Conservative within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.35 |
Wealthbuilder Conservative Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wealthbuilder Conservative for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wealthbuilder Conservative can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of 0.0% | |
| Wealthbuilder Conservative keeps about 7.83% of its net assets in cash |
Wealthbuilder Conservative Technical Analysis
Wealthbuilder Conservative's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wealthbuilder Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wealthbuilder Conservative Allocation. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wealthbuilder Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wealthbuilder Conservative Predictive Forecast Models
Wealthbuilder Conservative's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wealthbuilder Conservative's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wealthbuilder Conservative's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wealthbuilder Conservative
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wealthbuilder Conservative for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wealthbuilder Conservative help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of 0.0% | |
| Wealthbuilder Conservative keeps about 7.83% of its net assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Wealthbuilder Mutual Fund
Wealthbuilder Conservative financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wealthbuilder Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wealthbuilder with respect to the benefits of owning Wealthbuilder Conservative security.
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