Wilmington Trust Retirement Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 339.94

WBRMEX Fund  USD 314.59  7.19  2.23%   
Wilmington Trust's future price is the expected price of Wilmington Trust instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wilmington Trust Retirement performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wilmington Trust Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Wilmington Trust Correlation, Wilmington Trust Hype Analysis, Wilmington Trust Volatility, Wilmington Trust History as well as Wilmington Trust Performance.
  
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Wilmington Trust Target Price Odds to finish below 339.94

The tendency of Wilmington Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 339.94  after 90 days
 314.59 90 days 339.94 
about 75.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wilmington Trust to stay under $ 339.94  after 90 days from now is about 75.25 (This Wilmington Trust Retirement probability density function shows the probability of Wilmington Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wilmington Trust Ret price to stay between its current price of $ 314.59  and $ 339.94  at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.82 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wilmington Trust has a beta of 0.76. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wilmington Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wilmington Trust Retirement will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wilmington Trust Retirement has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Wilmington Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wilmington Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wilmington Trust Ret. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
313.62314.59315.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
283.13318.77319.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
316.89317.86318.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
317.78332.05346.32
Details

Wilmington Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wilmington Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wilmington Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wilmington Trust Retirement, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wilmington Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.76
σ
Overall volatility
9.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Wilmington Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wilmington Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wilmington Trust Ret can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wilmington Trust Ret generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Wilmington Trust Technical Analysis

Wilmington Trust's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wilmington Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wilmington Trust Retirement. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wilmington Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wilmington Trust Predictive Forecast Models

Wilmington Trust's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wilmington Trust's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wilmington Trust's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wilmington Trust Ret

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wilmington Trust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wilmington Trust Ret help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wilmington Trust Ret generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Wilmington Fund

Wilmington Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wilmington Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wilmington with respect to the benefits of owning Wilmington Trust security.
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