Navian Waycross Longshort Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 13.20
| WAYEX Fund | USD 17.86 0.07 0.39% |
Navian |
Navian Waycross Target Price Odds to finish below 13.20
The tendency of Navian Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 13.20 or more in 90 days |
| 17.86 | 90 days | 13.20 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Navian Waycross to drop to $ 13.20 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Navian Waycross Longshort probability density function shows the probability of Navian Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Navian Waycross Longshort price to stay between $ 13.20 and its current price of $17.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.18 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Navian Waycross has a beta of 0.43. This entails as returns on the market go up, Navian Waycross average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Navian Waycross Longshort will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Navian Waycross Longshort has an alpha of 0.032, implying that it can generate a 0.032 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Navian Waycross Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Navian Waycross
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Navian Waycross Longshort. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Navian Waycross' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Navian Waycross Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Navian Waycross is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Navian Waycross' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Navian Waycross Longshort, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Navian Waycross within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Navian Waycross Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Navian Waycross for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Navian Waycross Longshort can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: Facing Australias Ocean Dangers Damien Riders Transformative 800km Aqua Bike Journey all to raise awareness for mental health - News Hub | |
| The fund keeps about 32.59% of its net assets in cash |
Navian Waycross Technical Analysis
Navian Waycross' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Navian Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Navian Waycross Longshort. In general, you should focus on analyzing Navian Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Navian Waycross Predictive Forecast Models
Navian Waycross' time-series forecasting models is one of many Navian Waycross' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Navian Waycross' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Navian Waycross Longshort
Checking the ongoing alerts about Navian Waycross for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Navian Waycross Longshort help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Facing Australias Ocean Dangers Damien Riders Transformative 800km Aqua Bike Journey all to raise awareness for mental health - News Hub | |
| The fund keeps about 32.59% of its net assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Navian Mutual Fund
Navian Waycross financial ratios help investors to determine whether Navian Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Navian with respect to the benefits of owning Navian Waycross security.
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