Vanguard High Dividend Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 128.69
| VYM Etf | USD 128.43 0.92 0.71% |
Vanguard |
Vanguard High Target Price Odds to finish below 128.69
The tendency of Vanguard Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 128.69 after 90 days |
| 128.43 | 90 days | 128.69 | about 37.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard High to stay under $ 128.69 after 90 days from now is about 37.22 (This Vanguard High Dividend probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vanguard High Dividend price to stay between its current price of $ 128.43 and $ 128.69 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.48 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vanguard High has a beta of 0.12. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vanguard High average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vanguard High Dividend will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vanguard High Dividend has an alpha of 0.018, implying that it can generate a 0.018 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vanguard High Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Vanguard High
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard High Dividend. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard High's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vanguard High Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard High is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard High's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard High Dividend, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard High within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Vanguard High Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard High for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard High Dividend can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF Shares declares 0.9642 dividend | |
| The fund keeps 99.79% of its net assets in stocks |
Vanguard High Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vanguard Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vanguard High's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vanguard High's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Vanguard High Technical Analysis
Vanguard High's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vanguard Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vanguard High Dividend. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vanguard Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vanguard High Predictive Forecast Models
Vanguard High's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vanguard High's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vanguard High's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vanguard High Dividend
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard High for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard High Dividend help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF Shares declares 0.9642 dividend | |
| The fund keeps 99.79% of its net assets in stocks |
Check out Vanguard High Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Vanguard High Correlation, Vanguard High Hype Analysis, Vanguard High Volatility, Vanguard High History as well as Vanguard High Performance. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
The market value of Vanguard High Dividend is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vanguard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vanguard High's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vanguard High's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vanguard High's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vanguard High's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard High's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard High is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard High's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.