Vaxart Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.59

VXRT Stock  USD 0.62  0.02  3.33%   
Vaxart's future price is the expected price of Vaxart instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vaxart Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vaxart Backtesting, Vaxart Valuation, Vaxart Correlation, Vaxart Hype Analysis, Vaxart Volatility, Vaxart History as well as Vaxart Performance.
  
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Vaxart Target Price Odds to finish over 0.59

The tendency of Vaxart Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.59  in 90 days
 0.62 90 days 0.59 
about 90.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vaxart to stay above $ 0.59  in 90 days from now is about 90.32 (This Vaxart Inc probability density function shows the probability of Vaxart Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vaxart Inc price to stay between $ 0.59  and its current price of $0.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.18 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vaxart has a beta of 0.8. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vaxart average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vaxart Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vaxart Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vaxart Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vaxart

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vaxart Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.624.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.575.56
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.104.505.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.1-0.1-0.1
Details

Vaxart Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vaxart is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vaxart's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vaxart Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vaxart within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.80
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Vaxart Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vaxart for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vaxart Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vaxart Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vaxart Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Vaxart Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Vaxart Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (82.47 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (80.95 M).
Vaxart Inc currently holds about 129.55 M in cash with (70.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Phillip Lee of 410000 shares of Vaxart at 0.78 subject to Rule 16b-3

Vaxart Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vaxart Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vaxart's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vaxart's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding144.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments39.7 M

Vaxart Technical Analysis

Vaxart's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vaxart Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vaxart Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vaxart Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vaxart Predictive Forecast Models

Vaxart's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vaxart's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vaxart's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vaxart Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vaxart for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vaxart Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vaxart Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vaxart Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Vaxart Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Vaxart Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (82.47 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (80.95 M).
Vaxart Inc currently holds about 129.55 M in cash with (70.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Phillip Lee of 410000 shares of Vaxart at 0.78 subject to Rule 16b-3

Additional Tools for Vaxart Stock Analysis

When running Vaxart's price analysis, check to measure Vaxart's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vaxart is operating at the current time. Most of Vaxart's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vaxart's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vaxart's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vaxart to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.