Bristow Group Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.59
| VTOL Stock | USD 32.61 0.05 0.15% |
Bristow |
Bristow Target Price Odds to finish below 31.59
The tendency of Bristow Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 31.59 or more in 90 days |
| 32.61 | 90 days | 31.59 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bristow to drop to $ 31.59 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bristow Group probability density function shows the probability of Bristow Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bristow Group price to stay between $ 31.59 and its current price of $32.61 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.33 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Bristow will likely underperform. Additionally Bristow Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bristow Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bristow
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bristow Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bristow Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bristow is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bristow's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bristow Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bristow within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Bristow Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bristow for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bristow Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bristow Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bristow Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.3 B. Net Loss for the year was (6.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 276.25 M. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Archer Announces Strategic Partnership With Anduril to Develop Hybrid VTOL Military Aircraft Raises An Additional 430M |
Bristow Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bristow Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bristow's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bristow's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 180.3 M |
Bristow Technical Analysis
Bristow's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bristow Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bristow Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bristow Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bristow Predictive Forecast Models
Bristow's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bristow's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bristow's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bristow Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bristow for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bristow Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bristow Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bristow Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.3 B. Net Loss for the year was (6.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 276.25 M. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Archer Announces Strategic Partnership With Anduril to Develop Hybrid VTOL Military Aircraft Raises An Additional 430M |
Check out Bristow Backtesting, Bristow Valuation, Bristow Correlation, Bristow Hype Analysis, Bristow Volatility, Bristow History as well as Bristow Performance. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Oil & Gas Equipment & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bristow. If investors know Bristow will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bristow listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.333 | Earnings Share 1.86 | Revenue Per Share 48.112 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.079 | Return On Assets 0.0372 |
The market value of Bristow Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bristow that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bristow's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bristow's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bristow's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bristow's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bristow's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bristow is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bristow's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.