Vasta Platform Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.63
| VSTA Stock | USD 2.30 0.16 7.48% |
Vasta |
Vasta Platform Target Price Odds to finish below 2.63
The tendency of Vasta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 2.63 after 90 days |
| 2.30 | 90 days | 2.63 | about 75.67 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vasta Platform to stay under $ 2.63 after 90 days from now is about 75.67 (This Vasta Platform probability density function shows the probability of Vasta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vasta Platform price to stay between its current price of $ 2.30 and $ 2.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.69 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vasta Platform has a beta of 0.0977. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vasta Platform average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vasta Platform will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vasta Platform has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vasta Platform Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vasta Platform
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vasta Platform. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vasta Platform's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vasta Platform Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vasta Platform is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vasta Platform's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vasta Platform, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vasta Platform within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Vasta Platform Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vasta Platform for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vasta Platform can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vasta Platform generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (119.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 791.14 M. | |
| About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Comparing Vasta Platform China Liberal Education |
Vasta Platform Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vasta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vasta Platform's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vasta Platform's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 82.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 341.8 M |
Vasta Platform Technical Analysis
Vasta Platform's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vasta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vasta Platform. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vasta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vasta Platform Predictive Forecast Models
Vasta Platform's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vasta Platform's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vasta Platform's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vasta Platform
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vasta Platform for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vasta Platform help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vasta Platform generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (119.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 791.14 M. | |
| About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Comparing Vasta Platform China Liberal Education |
Check out Vasta Platform Backtesting, Vasta Platform Valuation, Vasta Platform Correlation, Vasta Platform Hype Analysis, Vasta Platform Volatility, Vasta Platform History as well as Vasta Platform Performance. For information on how to trade Vasta Stock refer to our How to Trade Vasta Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vasta Platform. If investors know Vasta will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vasta Platform listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.21) | Earnings Share (0.13) | Revenue Per Share 18.572 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) | Return On Assets 0.0145 |
The market value of Vasta Platform is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vasta that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vasta Platform's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vasta Platform's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vasta Platform's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vasta Platform's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vasta Platform's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vasta Platform is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vasta Platform's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.