Viasat Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.71

VSAT Stock  USD 9.23  0.49  5.04%   
ViaSat's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on ViaSat Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of ViaSat based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in ViaSat Inc over a specific time period. For example, VSAT Option Call 20-12-2024 9 is a CALL option contract on ViaSat's common stock with a strick price of 9.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-11-22 at 15:45:29 for $1.2 and, as of today, has 16 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.2, and an ask price of $1.3. The implied volatility as of the 4th of December is 16.0. View All ViaSat options

Closest to current price ViaSat long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

ViaSat's future price is the expected price of ViaSat instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ViaSat Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ViaSat Backtesting, ViaSat Valuation, ViaSat Correlation, ViaSat Hype Analysis, ViaSat Volatility, ViaSat History as well as ViaSat Performance.
  
At this time, ViaSat's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price Cash Flow Ratio is likely to gain to 3.07 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.45 in 2024. Please specify ViaSat's target price for which you would like ViaSat odds to be computed.

ViaSat Target Price Odds to finish below 9.71

The tendency of ViaSat Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 9.71  after 90 days
 9.23 90 days 9.71 
about 27.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ViaSat to stay under $ 9.71  after 90 days from now is about 27.13 (This ViaSat Inc probability density function shows the probability of ViaSat Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ViaSat Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 9.23  and $ 9.71  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.23 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.33 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ViaSat will likely underperform. Additionally ViaSat Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ViaSat Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ViaSat

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ViaSat Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.588.8514.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.3117.0122.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.8611.1316.39
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
37.0540.7145.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ViaSat. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ViaSat's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ViaSat's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ViaSat Inc.

ViaSat Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ViaSat is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ViaSat's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ViaSat Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ViaSat within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.73
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.33
σ
Overall volatility
2.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

ViaSat Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ViaSat for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ViaSat Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ViaSat Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ViaSat Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.28 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.06 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 847.51 M.
ViaSat Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Viasat Inc Stock Price Up 6.54 percent on Dec 2

ViaSat Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ViaSat Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ViaSat's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ViaSat's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding117.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 B

ViaSat Technical Analysis

ViaSat's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ViaSat Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ViaSat Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing ViaSat Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ViaSat Predictive Forecast Models

ViaSat's time-series forecasting models is one of many ViaSat's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ViaSat's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ViaSat Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about ViaSat for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ViaSat Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ViaSat Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ViaSat Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.28 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.06 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 847.51 M.
ViaSat Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Viasat Inc Stock Price Up 6.54 percent on Dec 2

Additional Tools for ViaSat Stock Analysis

When running ViaSat's price analysis, check to measure ViaSat's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ViaSat is operating at the current time. Most of ViaSat's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ViaSat's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ViaSat's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ViaSat to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.