V Mart (India) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4345.7
| VMART Stock | 3,847 80.40 2.13% |
VMART |
V Mart Target Price Odds to finish below 4345.7
The tendency of VMART Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 4,346 after 90 days |
| 3,847 | 90 days | 4,346 | about 84.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of V Mart to stay under 4,346 after 90 days from now is about 84.93 (This V Mart Retail Limited probability density function shows the probability of VMART Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of V Mart Retail price to stay between its current price of 3,847 and 4,346 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon V Mart has a beta of 0.46. This entails as returns on the market go up, V Mart average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding V Mart Retail Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally V Mart Retail Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. V Mart Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for V Mart
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as V Mart Retail. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of V Mart's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
V Mart Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. V Mart is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the V Mart's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold V Mart Retail Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of V Mart within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 281.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
V Mart Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of V Mart for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for V Mart Retail can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| V Mart Retail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 27.81 B. Net Loss for the year was (967.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.54 B. | |
| About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
V Mart Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VMART Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential V Mart's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. V Mart's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 488.5 M |
V Mart Technical Analysis
V Mart's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VMART Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of V Mart Retail Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing VMART Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
V Mart Predictive Forecast Models
V Mart's time-series forecasting models is one of many V Mart's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary V Mart's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about V Mart Retail
Checking the ongoing alerts about V Mart for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for V Mart Retail help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| V Mart Retail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 27.81 B. Net Loss for the year was (967.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.54 B. | |
| About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in VMART Stock
V Mart financial ratios help investors to determine whether VMART Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VMART with respect to the benefits of owning V Mart security.