Telefonica Brasil Sa Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.87
| VIV Stock | USD 7.79 0.08 1.02% |
Telefonica |
Telefonica Brasil Target Price Odds to finish below 7.87
The tendency of Telefonica Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 7.87 after 90 days |
| 7.79 | 90 days | 7.87 | nearly 4.32 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Telefonica Brasil to stay under $ 7.87 after 90 days from now is nearly 4.32 (This Telefonica Brasil SA probability density function shows the probability of Telefonica Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Telefonica Brasil price to stay between its current price of $ 7.79 and $ 7.87 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Telefonica Brasil SA has a beta of -0.0455. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Telefonica Brasil are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Telefonica Brasil SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Telefonica Brasil SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Telefonica Brasil Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Telefonica Brasil
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telefonica Brasil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Telefonica Brasil Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Telefonica Brasil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Telefonica Brasil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Telefonica Brasil SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Telefonica Brasil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Telefonica Brasil Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Telefonica Brasil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Telefonica Brasil can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Telefonica Brasil generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Telefonica Brasil SA has 18.74 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.29, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Telefonica Brasil has a current ratio of 0.83, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Telefonica to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Telefonica Brasil has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Telefonicas Movistar Partners Tigo on Unified Mobile Access Network |
Telefonica Brasil Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Telefonica Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Telefonica Brasil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Telefonica Brasil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.4 B |
Telefonica Brasil Technical Analysis
Telefonica Brasil's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Telefonica Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Telefonica Brasil SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Telefonica Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Telefonica Brasil Predictive Forecast Models
Telefonica Brasil's time-series forecasting models is one of many Telefonica Brasil's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Telefonica Brasil's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Telefonica Brasil
Checking the ongoing alerts about Telefonica Brasil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Telefonica Brasil help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Telefonica Brasil generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Telefonica Brasil SA has 18.74 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.29, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Telefonica Brasil has a current ratio of 0.83, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Telefonica to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Telefonica Brasil has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Telefonicas Movistar Partners Tigo on Unified Mobile Access Network |
Additional Tools for Telefonica Stock Analysis
When running Telefonica Brasil's price analysis, check to measure Telefonica Brasil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Telefonica Brasil is operating at the current time. Most of Telefonica Brasil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Telefonica Brasil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Telefonica Brasil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Telefonica Brasil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.