ViroGates (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.07
| VIRO Stock | 13.40 0.90 7.20% |
ViroGates |
ViroGates Target Price Odds to finish below 0.07
The tendency of ViroGates Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.07 or more in 90 days |
| 13.40 | 90 days | 0.07 | about 1.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ViroGates to drop to 0.07 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.52 (This ViroGates AS probability density function shows the probability of ViroGates Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ViroGates AS price to stay between 0.07 and its current price of 13.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ViroGates has a beta of 0.32. This entails as returns on the market go up, ViroGates average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ViroGates AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover ViroGates AS has an alpha of 1.9378, implying that it can generate a 1.94 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ViroGates Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ViroGates
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ViroGates AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ViroGates Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ViroGates is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ViroGates' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ViroGates AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ViroGates within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.94 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
ViroGates Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ViroGates for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ViroGates AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ViroGates AS is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| ViroGates AS appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| ViroGates AS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 7.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.79 M. | |
| ViroGates generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
ViroGates Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ViroGates Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ViroGates' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ViroGates' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.2 M |
ViroGates Technical Analysis
ViroGates' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ViroGates Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ViroGates AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing ViroGates Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ViroGates Predictive Forecast Models
ViroGates' time-series forecasting models is one of many ViroGates' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ViroGates' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ViroGates AS
Checking the ongoing alerts about ViroGates for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ViroGates AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ViroGates AS is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| ViroGates AS appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| ViroGates AS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 7.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.79 M. | |
| ViroGates generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in ViroGates Stock
ViroGates financial ratios help investors to determine whether ViroGates Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ViroGates with respect to the benefits of owning ViroGates security.