Vanguard Multifactor Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 125.30
| VFMF Etf | USD 131.56 0.19 0.14% |
Vanguard |
Vanguard Multifactor Target Price Odds to finish below 125.30
The tendency of Vanguard Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 125.30 or more in 90 days |
| 131.56 | 90 days | 125.30 | about 1.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Multifactor to drop to $ 125.30 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.55 (This Vanguard Multifactor probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vanguard Multifactor price to stay between $ 125.30 and its current price of $131.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.64 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vanguard Multifactor has a beta of 0.2. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vanguard Multifactor average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vanguard Multifactor will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vanguard Multifactor has an alpha of 7.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 7.5E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vanguard Multifactor Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vanguard Multifactor
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Multifactor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vanguard Multifactor Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Multifactor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Multifactor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Multifactor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Multifactor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.0007 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Vanguard Multifactor Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Multifactor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Multifactor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Vanguard U.S. Multifactor ETF declares quarterly distribution of 0.5955 | |
| The fund keeps 98.46% of its net assets in stocks |
Vanguard Multifactor Technical Analysis
Vanguard Multifactor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vanguard Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vanguard Multifactor. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vanguard Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vanguard Multifactor Predictive Forecast Models
Vanguard Multifactor's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vanguard Multifactor's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vanguard Multifactor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vanguard Multifactor
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Multifactor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Multifactor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Vanguard U.S. Multifactor ETF declares quarterly distribution of 0.5955 | |
| The fund keeps 98.46% of its net assets in stocks |
Check out Vanguard Multifactor Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Vanguard Multifactor Correlation, Vanguard Multifactor Hype Analysis, Vanguard Multifactor Volatility, Vanguard Multifactor History as well as Vanguard Multifactor Performance. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
The market value of Vanguard Multifactor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vanguard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vanguard Multifactor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vanguard Multifactor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vanguard Multifactor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vanguard Multifactor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Multifactor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Multifactor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Multifactor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.