Vanguard Global (Australia) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 42.59
| VBND Etf | 42.41 0.05 0.12% |
Vanguard |
Vanguard Global Target Price Odds to finish over 42.59
The tendency of Vanguard Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 42.59 or more in 90 days |
| 42.41 | 90 days | 42.59 | about 14.48 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Global to move over 42.59 or more in 90 days from now is about 14.48 (This Vanguard Global Aggregate probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vanguard Global Aggregate price to stay between its current price of 42.41 and 42.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vanguard Global has a beta of 0.0129. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vanguard Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vanguard Global Aggregate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vanguard Global Aggregate has an alpha of 0.0022, implying that it can generate a 0.002244 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vanguard Global Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Vanguard Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Global Aggregate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vanguard Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Global Aggregate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.4 |
Vanguard Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Global Aggregate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vanguard Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vanguard Global Aggregate generated five year return of -2.0% |
Vanguard Global Technical Analysis
Vanguard Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vanguard Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vanguard Global Aggregate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vanguard Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vanguard Global Predictive Forecast Models
Vanguard Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vanguard Global's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vanguard Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vanguard Global Aggregate
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Global Aggregate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vanguard Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vanguard Global Aggregate generated five year return of -2.0% |
Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Etf
Vanguard Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Global security.