VBG Group (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 249.85
| VBG-B Stock | SEK 318.00 3.00 0.95% |
VBG |
VBG Group Target Price Odds to finish below 249.85
The tendency of VBG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 249.85 or more in 90 days |
| 318.00 | 90 days | 249.85 | about 1.64 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VBG Group to drop to kr 249.85 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.64 (This VBG Group AB probability density function shows the probability of VBG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VBG Group AB price to stay between kr 249.85 and its current price of kr318.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VBG Group has a beta of 0.0558. This entails as returns on the market go up, VBG Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VBG Group AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VBG Group AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. VBG Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VBG Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VBG Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VBG Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VBG Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VBG Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VBG Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VBG Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 40.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
VBG Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VBG Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VBG Group AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VBG Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
VBG Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VBG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VBG Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VBG Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 667.4 M |
VBG Group Technical Analysis
VBG Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VBG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VBG Group AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing VBG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VBG Group Predictive Forecast Models
VBG Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many VBG Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VBG Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VBG Group AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about VBG Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VBG Group AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| VBG Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for VBG Stock Analysis
When running VBG Group's price analysis, check to measure VBG Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VBG Group is operating at the current time. Most of VBG Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VBG Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VBG Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VBG Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.