Village Bank And Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 58.74
| VBFC Stock | USD 77.50 0.00 0.00% |
Village |
Village Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 58.74
The tendency of Village Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 58.74 or more in 90 days |
| 77.50 | 90 days | 58.74 | about 44.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Village Bank to drop to $ 58.74 or more in 90 days from now is about 44.25 (This Village Bank and probability density function shows the probability of Village Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Village Bank price to stay between $ 58.74 and its current price of $77.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.88 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Village Bank has a beta of 0.21. This entails as returns on the market go up, Village Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Village Bank and will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Village Bank and has an alpha of 0.7713, implying that it can generate a 0.77 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Village Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Village Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Village Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Village Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Village Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Village Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Village Bank and, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Village Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.77 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 21.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Village Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Village Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Village Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Village Bank is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Village Bank is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Village Bank appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Village Bank is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Village Bank has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Village Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Village Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Village Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Village Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.7 M |
Village Bank Technical Analysis
Village Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Village Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Village Bank and. In general, you should focus on analyzing Village Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Village Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Village Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Village Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Village Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Village Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Village Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Village Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Village Bank is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Village Bank is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Village Bank appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Village Bank is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Village Bank has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Village Bank. If investors know Village will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Village Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.332 | Dividend Share 0.72 | Earnings Share 4.84 | Revenue Per Share 21.73 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.459 |
The market value of Village Bank is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Village that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Village Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Village Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Village Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Village Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Village Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Village Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Village Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.