Value Grupo (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 101.89
| VALUEGFO | MXN 93.04 0.00 0.00% |
Value |
Value Grupo Target Price Odds to finish over 101.89
The tendency of Value Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 101.89 or more in 90 days |
| 93.04 | 90 days | 101.89 | about 1.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Value Grupo to move over 101.89 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.33 (This Value Grupo Financiero probability density function shows the probability of Value Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Value Grupo Financiero price to stay between its current price of 93.04 and 101.89 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.23 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Value Grupo Financiero has a beta of -0.16. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Value Grupo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Value Grupo Financiero is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Value Grupo Financiero has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Value Grupo Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Value Grupo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Value Grupo Financiero. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Value Grupo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Value Grupo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Value Grupo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Value Grupo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Value Grupo Financiero, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Value Grupo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Value Grupo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Value Grupo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Value Grupo Financiero can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Value Grupo has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Value Grupo Financiero has accumulated 11.82 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 222.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Value Grupo Financiero has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Value Grupo until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Value Grupo's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Value Grupo Financiero sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Value to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Value Grupo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 41.0% of Value Grupo outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Value Grupo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Value Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Value Grupo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Value Grupo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 160 M |
Value Grupo Technical Analysis
Value Grupo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Value Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Value Grupo Financiero. In general, you should focus on analyzing Value Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Value Grupo Predictive Forecast Models
Value Grupo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Value Grupo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Value Grupo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Value Grupo Financiero
Checking the ongoing alerts about Value Grupo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Value Grupo Financiero help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Value Grupo has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Value Grupo Financiero has accumulated 11.82 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 222.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Value Grupo Financiero has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Value Grupo until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Value Grupo's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Value Grupo Financiero sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Value to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Value Grupo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 41.0% of Value Grupo outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Value Stock
Value Grupo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Value Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Value with respect to the benefits of owning Value Grupo security.