Turkiye Vakiflar (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.99

VAKBN Stock  TRY 22.20  0.62  2.72%   
Turkiye Vakiflar's future price is the expected price of Turkiye Vakiflar instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Turkiye Vakiflar Bankasi performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Turkiye Vakiflar Backtesting, Turkiye Vakiflar Valuation, Turkiye Vakiflar Correlation, Turkiye Vakiflar Hype Analysis, Turkiye Vakiflar Volatility, Turkiye Vakiflar History as well as Turkiye Vakiflar Performance.
  
Please specify Turkiye Vakiflar's target price for which you would like Turkiye Vakiflar odds to be computed.

Turkiye Vakiflar Target Price Odds to finish over 21.99

The tendency of Turkiye Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  21.99  in 90 days
 22.20 90 days 21.99 
about 58.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Turkiye Vakiflar to stay above  21.99  in 90 days from now is about 58.82 (This Turkiye Vakiflar Bankasi probability density function shows the probability of Turkiye Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Turkiye Vakiflar Bankasi price to stay between  21.99  and its current price of 22.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Turkiye Vakiflar has a beta of 0.45. This entails as returns on the market go up, Turkiye Vakiflar average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Turkiye Vakiflar Bankasi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Turkiye Vakiflar Bankasi has an alpha of 0.0911, implying that it can generate a 0.0911 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Turkiye Vakiflar Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Turkiye Vakiflar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Turkiye Vakiflar Bankasi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.4222.2024.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.9618.7424.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.3921.1723.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.9523.4724.99
Details

Turkiye Vakiflar Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Turkiye Vakiflar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Turkiye Vakiflar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Turkiye Vakiflar Bankasi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Turkiye Vakiflar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.45
σ
Overall volatility
1.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Turkiye Vakiflar Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Turkiye Vakiflar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Turkiye Vakiflar Bankasi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Turkiye Vakiflar Bankasi has accumulated about 39.03 B in cash with (28.12 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 15.61.
Roughly 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Turkiye Vakiflar Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Turkiye Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Turkiye Vakiflar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Turkiye Vakiflar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.9 B

Turkiye Vakiflar Technical Analysis

Turkiye Vakiflar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Turkiye Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Turkiye Vakiflar Bankasi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Turkiye Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Turkiye Vakiflar Predictive Forecast Models

Turkiye Vakiflar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Turkiye Vakiflar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Turkiye Vakiflar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Turkiye Vakiflar Bankasi

Checking the ongoing alerts about Turkiye Vakiflar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Turkiye Vakiflar Bankasi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Turkiye Vakiflar Bankasi has accumulated about 39.03 B in cash with (28.12 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 15.61.
Roughly 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Turkiye Stock

Turkiye Vakiflar financial ratios help investors to determine whether Turkiye Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Turkiye with respect to the benefits of owning Turkiye Vakiflar security.