Us Global Leaders Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 81.7

USLIX Fund  USD 87.15  0.76  0.88%   
Us Global's future price is the expected price of Us Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Us Global Leaders performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Us Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Us Global Correlation, Us Global Hype Analysis, Us Global Volatility, Us Global History as well as Us Global Performance.
  
Please specify Us Global's target price for which you would like Us Global odds to be computed.

Us Global Target Price Odds to finish below 81.7

The tendency of USLIX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 81.70  or more in 90 days
 87.15 90 days 81.70 
about 16.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Us Global to drop to $ 81.70  or more in 90 days from now is about 16.87 (This Us Global Leaders probability density function shows the probability of USLIX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Us Global Leaders price to stay between $ 81.70  and its current price of $87.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Us Global has a beta of 0.72. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Us Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Us Global Leaders will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Us Global Leaders has an alpha of 0.0393, implying that it can generate a 0.0393 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Us Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Us Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Us Global Leaders. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
86.3987.1587.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
78.4495.4396.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
86.5487.2988.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
80.9484.4487.93
Details

Us Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Us Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Us Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Us Global Leaders, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Us Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.72
σ
Overall volatility
1.91
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Us Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Us Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Us Global Leaders can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 98.4% of its net assets in stocks

Us Global Technical Analysis

Us Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. USLIX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Us Global Leaders. In general, you should focus on analyzing USLIX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Us Global Predictive Forecast Models

Us Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Us Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Us Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Us Global Leaders

Checking the ongoing alerts about Us Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Us Global Leaders help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 98.4% of its net assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in USLIX Mutual Fund

Us Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether USLIX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in USLIX with respect to the benefits of owning Us Global security.
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