Growth Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 19.66
| USGRX Fund | USD 24.36 4.54 15.71% |
Growth |
Growth Income Target Price Odds to finish over 19.66
The tendency of Growth Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 19.66 in 90 days |
| 24.36 | 90 days | 19.66 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Growth Income to stay above $ 19.66 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Growth Income Fund probability density function shows the probability of Growth Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Growth Income price to stay between $ 19.66 and its current price of $24.36 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Growth Income has a beta of 0.91. This usually implies Growth Income Fund market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Growth Income is expected to follow. Additionally Growth Income Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Growth Income Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Growth Income
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Growth Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Growth Income Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Growth Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Growth Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Growth Income Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Growth Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.91 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Growth Income Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Growth Income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Growth Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Growth Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund keeps 99.33% of its net assets in stocks |
Growth Income Technical Analysis
Growth Income's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Growth Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Growth Income Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Growth Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Growth Income Predictive Forecast Models
Growth Income's time-series forecasting models is one of many Growth Income's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Growth Income's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Growth Income
Checking the ongoing alerts about Growth Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Growth Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Growth Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund keeps 99.33% of its net assets in stocks |
Other Information on Investing in Growth Mutual Fund
Growth Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Growth Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Growth with respect to the benefits of owning Growth Income security.
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