USD Partners LP Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 3.82

USDPDelisted Stock  USD 0.79  0.01  1.25%   
USD Partners' future price is the expected price of USD Partners instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of USD Partners LP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
  
Please specify USD Partners' target price for which you would like USD Partners odds to be computed.

USD Partners Target Price Odds to finish below 3.82

The tendency of USD Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 3.82  after 90 days
 0.79 90 days 3.82 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of USD Partners to stay under $ 3.82  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This USD Partners LP probability density function shows the probability of USD Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of USD Partners LP price to stay between its current price of $ 0.79  and $ 3.82  at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.8 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days USD Partners LP has a beta of -2.06. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding USD Partners LP are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, USD Partners is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally USD Partners LP has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   USD Partners Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for USD Partners

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as USD Partners LP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of USD Partners' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.790.790.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.750.750.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.750.750.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.800.860.92
Details

USD Partners Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. USD Partners is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the USD Partners' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold USD Partners LP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of USD Partners within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.79
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.31

USD Partners Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of USD Partners for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for USD Partners LP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
USD Partners LP is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
USD Partners LP has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
USD Partners LP has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 111.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (61.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 69.43 M.
About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

USD Partners Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of USD Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential USD Partners' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. USD Partners' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding33.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.5 M

USD Partners Technical Analysis

USD Partners' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. USD Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of USD Partners LP. In general, you should focus on analyzing USD Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

USD Partners Predictive Forecast Models

USD Partners' time-series forecasting models is one of many USD Partners' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary USD Partners' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about USD Partners LP

Checking the ongoing alerts about USD Partners for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for USD Partners LP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
USD Partners LP is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
USD Partners LP has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
USD Partners LP has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 111.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (61.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 69.43 M.
About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

Other Consideration for investing in USD Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in USD Partners LP check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the USD Partners' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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