UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 94.76

90353TAG5   98.71  2.35  2.33%   
90353TAG5's future price is the expected price of 90353TAG5 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 90353TAG5 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 90353TAG5 Correlation, 90353TAG5 Hype Analysis, 90353TAG5 Volatility, 90353TAG5 History as well as 90353TAG5 Performance.
  
Please specify 90353TAG5's target price for which you would like 90353TAG5 odds to be computed.

90353TAG5 Target Price Odds to finish over 94.76

The tendency of 90353TAG5 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  94.76  in 90 days
 98.71 90 days 94.76 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 90353TAG5 to stay above  94.76  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC probability density function shows the probability of 90353TAG5 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC price to stay between  94.76  and its current price of 98.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 90353TAG5 has a beta of 0.11. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 90353TAG5 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   90353TAG5 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 90353TAG5

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.3598.7199.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.8198.17108.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
99.3499.70100.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
97.19100.22103.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 90353TAG5. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 90353TAG5's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 90353TAG5's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC.

90353TAG5 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 90353TAG5 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 90353TAG5's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 90353TAG5 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.98
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

90353TAG5 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 90353TAG5 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
90353TAG5 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

90353TAG5 Technical Analysis

90353TAG5's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 90353TAG5 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC. In general, you should focus on analyzing 90353TAG5 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

90353TAG5 Predictive Forecast Models

90353TAG5's time-series forecasting models is one of many 90353TAG5's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 90353TAG5's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC

Checking the ongoing alerts about 90353TAG5 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
90353TAG5 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 90353TAG5 Bond

90353TAG5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 90353TAG5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 90353TAG5 with respect to the benefits of owning 90353TAG5 security.