TOLEDO HOSP 5325 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 77.96
| 889184AC1 | 77.10 0.00 0.00% |
TOLEDO |
TOLEDO Target Price Odds to finish below 77.96
The tendency of TOLEDO Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 77.96 after 90 days |
| 77.10 | 90 days | 77.96 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TOLEDO to stay under 77.96 after 90 days from now is near 1 (This TOLEDO HOSP 5325 probability density function shows the probability of TOLEDO Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TOLEDO HOSP 5325 price to stay between its current price of 77.10 and 77.96 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the bond has the beta coefficient of 1.15 . This usually implies TOLEDO HOSP 5325 market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, TOLEDO is expected to follow. Additionally TOLEDO HOSP 5325 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. TOLEDO Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TOLEDO
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TOLEDO HOSP 5325. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TOLEDO Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TOLEDO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TOLEDO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TOLEDO HOSP 5325, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TOLEDO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
TOLEDO Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TOLEDO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TOLEDO HOSP 5325 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TOLEDO HOSP 5325 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TOLEDO HOSP 5325 has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
TOLEDO Technical Analysis
TOLEDO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TOLEDO Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TOLEDO HOSP 5325. In general, you should focus on analyzing TOLEDO Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TOLEDO Predictive Forecast Models
TOLEDO's time-series forecasting models is one of many TOLEDO's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TOLEDO's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TOLEDO HOSP 5325
Checking the ongoing alerts about TOLEDO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TOLEDO HOSP 5325 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TOLEDO HOSP 5325 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TOLEDO HOSP 5325 has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Other Information on Investing in TOLEDO Bond
TOLEDO financial ratios help investors to determine whether TOLEDO Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TOLEDO with respect to the benefits of owning TOLEDO security.