TOPTB 5375 20 NOV 48 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 80.34

88323AAD4   93.01  0.00  0.00%   
TOPTB's future price is the expected price of TOPTB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TOPTB 5375 20 NOV 48 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TOPTB Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, TOPTB Correlation, TOPTB Hype Analysis, TOPTB Volatility, TOPTB History as well as TOPTB Performance.
  
Please specify TOPTB's target price for which you would like TOPTB odds to be computed.

TOPTB Target Price Odds to finish below 80.34

The tendency of TOPTB Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  80.34  or more in 90 days
 93.01 90 days 80.34 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TOPTB to drop to  80.34  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This TOPTB 5375 20 NOV 48 probability density function shows the probability of TOPTB Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TOPTB 5375 20 price to stay between  80.34  and its current price of 93.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TOPTB has a beta of 0.13. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TOPTB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TOPTB 5375 20 NOV 48 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TOPTB 5375 20 NOV 48 has an alpha of 0.1942, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   TOPTB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TOPTB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TOPTB 5375 20. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.1593.0196.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.0975.95102.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TOPTB. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TOPTB's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TOPTB's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TOPTB 5375 20.

TOPTB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TOPTB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TOPTB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TOPTB 5375 20 NOV 48, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TOPTB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
2.90
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

TOPTB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TOPTB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TOPTB 5375 20 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TOPTB 5375 20 had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

TOPTB Technical Analysis

TOPTB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TOPTB Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TOPTB 5375 20 NOV 48. In general, you should focus on analyzing TOPTB Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TOPTB Predictive Forecast Models

TOPTB's time-series forecasting models is one of many TOPTB's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TOPTB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TOPTB 5375 20

Checking the ongoing alerts about TOPTB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TOPTB 5375 20 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TOPTB 5375 20 had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in TOPTB Bond

TOPTB financial ratios help investors to determine whether TOPTB Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TOPTB with respect to the benefits of owning TOPTB security.