SUMIBK 293 17 SEP 41 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 70.67
| 86562MCK4 | 74.13 0.02 0.03% |
SUMIBK |
SUMIBK Target Price Odds to finish over 70.67
The tendency of SUMIBK Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 70.67 in 90 days |
| 74.13 | 90 days | 70.67 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SUMIBK to stay above 70.67 in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This SUMIBK 293 17 SEP 41 probability density function shows the probability of SUMIBK Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SUMIBK 293 17 price to stay between 70.67 and its current price of 74.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SUMIBK 293 17 SEP 41 has a beta of -0.2. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SUMIBK are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SUMIBK 293 17 SEP 41 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SUMIBK 293 17 SEP 41 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SUMIBK Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SUMIBK
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SUMIBK 293 17. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SUMIBK Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SUMIBK is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SUMIBK's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SUMIBK 293 17 SEP 41, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SUMIBK within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
SUMIBK Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SUMIBK for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SUMIBK 293 17 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SUMIBK 293 17 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
SUMIBK Technical Analysis
SUMIBK's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SUMIBK Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SUMIBK 293 17 SEP 41. In general, you should focus on analyzing SUMIBK Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SUMIBK Predictive Forecast Models
SUMIBK's time-series forecasting models is one of many SUMIBK's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SUMIBK's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SUMIBK 293 17
Checking the ongoing alerts about SUMIBK for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SUMIBK 293 17 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SUMIBK 293 17 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in SUMIBK Bond
SUMIBK financial ratios help investors to determine whether SUMIBK Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SUMIBK with respect to the benefits of owning SUMIBK security.