SVELEV 13 10 FEB 28 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 88.87

817826AD2   89.35  0.11  0.12%   
SVELEV's future price is the expected price of SVELEV instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SVELEV 13 10 FEB 28 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SVELEV Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, SVELEV Correlation, SVELEV Hype Analysis, SVELEV Volatility, SVELEV History as well as SVELEV Performance.
  
Please specify SVELEV's target price for which you would like SVELEV odds to be computed.

SVELEV Target Price Odds to finish below 88.87

The tendency of SVELEV Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  88.87  or more in 90 days
 89.35 90 days 88.87 
about 12.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SVELEV to drop to  88.87  or more in 90 days from now is about 12.57 (This SVELEV 13 10 FEB 28 probability density function shows the probability of SVELEV Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SVELEV 13 10 price to stay between  88.87  and its current price of 89.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SVELEV 13 10 FEB 28 has a beta of -0.0576. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SVELEV are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SVELEV 13 10 FEB 28 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SVELEV 13 10 FEB 28 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SVELEV Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SVELEV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SVELEV 13 10. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.1489.3589.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.0582.2698.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
89.4489.6589.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
88.0988.8889.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SVELEV. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SVELEV's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SVELEV's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SVELEV 13 10.

SVELEV Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SVELEV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SVELEV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SVELEV 13 10 FEB 28, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SVELEV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0065
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.53

SVELEV Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SVELEV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SVELEV 13 10 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SVELEV 13 10 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

SVELEV Technical Analysis

SVELEV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SVELEV Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SVELEV 13 10 FEB 28. In general, you should focus on analyzing SVELEV Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SVELEV Predictive Forecast Models

SVELEV's time-series forecasting models is one of many SVELEV's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SVELEV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SVELEV 13 10

Checking the ongoing alerts about SVELEV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SVELEV 13 10 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SVELEV 13 10 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in SVELEV Bond

SVELEV financial ratios help investors to determine whether SVELEV Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SVELEV with respect to the benefits of owning SVELEV security.