ROSW 2607 13 DEC 51 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 66.37
| 771196BY7 | 67.36 7.11 11.80% |
771196BY7 |
771196BY7 Target Price Odds to finish over 66.37
The tendency of 771196BY7 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 66.37 in 90 days |
| 67.36 | 90 days | 66.37 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 771196BY7 to stay above 66.37 in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ROSW 2607 13 DEC 51 probability density function shows the probability of 771196BY7 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ROSW 2607 13 price to stay between 66.37 and its current price of 67.36 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ROSW 2607 13 DEC 51 has a beta of -0.38. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 771196BY7 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ROSW 2607 13 DEC 51 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ROSW 2607 13 DEC 51 has an alpha of 0.04, implying that it can generate a 0.04 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). 771196BY7 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for 771196BY7
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ROSW 2607 13. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.771196BY7 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 771196BY7 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 771196BY7's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ROSW 2607 13 DEC 51, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 771196BY7 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
771196BY7 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 771196BY7 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ROSW 2607 13 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ROSW 2607 13 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
771196BY7 Technical Analysis
771196BY7's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 771196BY7 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ROSW 2607 13 DEC 51. In general, you should focus on analyzing 771196BY7 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
771196BY7 Predictive Forecast Models
771196BY7's time-series forecasting models is one of many 771196BY7's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 771196BY7's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ROSW 2607 13
Checking the ongoing alerts about 771196BY7 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ROSW 2607 13 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ROSW 2607 13 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in 771196BY7 Bond
771196BY7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 771196BY7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 771196BY7 with respect to the benefits of owning 771196BY7 security.