PEPSICO INC Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 88.97

713448EL8   90.27  1.47  1.60%   
PEPSICO's future price is the expected price of PEPSICO instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PEPSICO INC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PEPSICO Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, PEPSICO Correlation, PEPSICO Hype Analysis, PEPSICO Volatility, PEPSICO History as well as PEPSICO Performance.
For information on how to trade PEPSICO Bond refer to our How to Trade PEPSICO Bond guide.
  
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PEPSICO Target Price Odds to finish below 88.97

The tendency of PEPSICO Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  88.97  or more in 90 days
 90.27 90 days 88.97 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PEPSICO to drop to  88.97  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This PEPSICO INC probability density function shows the probability of PEPSICO Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PEPSICO INC price to stay between  88.97  and its current price of 90.27 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PEPSICO INC has a beta of -0.12. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PEPSICO are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PEPSICO INC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PEPSICO INC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   PEPSICO Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PEPSICO

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PEPSICO INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.9290.2790.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
78.4978.8499.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PEPSICO. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PEPSICO's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PEPSICO's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PEPSICO INC.

PEPSICO Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PEPSICO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PEPSICO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PEPSICO INC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PEPSICO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
1.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

PEPSICO Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PEPSICO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PEPSICO INC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PEPSICO INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

PEPSICO Technical Analysis

PEPSICO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PEPSICO Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PEPSICO INC. In general, you should focus on analyzing PEPSICO Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PEPSICO Predictive Forecast Models

PEPSICO's time-series forecasting models is one of many PEPSICO's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PEPSICO's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PEPSICO INC

Checking the ongoing alerts about PEPSICO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PEPSICO INC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PEPSICO INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in PEPSICO Bond

PEPSICO financial ratios help investors to determine whether PEPSICO Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PEPSICO with respect to the benefits of owning PEPSICO security.