PCG 42 01 MAR 29 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 96.87

694308KB2   97.67  0.73  0.75%   
694308KB2's future price is the expected price of 694308KB2 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PCG 42 01 MAR 29 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 694308KB2 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 694308KB2 Correlation, 694308KB2 Hype Analysis, 694308KB2 Volatility, 694308KB2 History as well as 694308KB2 Performance.
  
Please specify 694308KB2's target price for which you would like 694308KB2 odds to be computed.

694308KB2 Target Price Odds to finish over 96.87

The tendency of 694308KB2 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  96.87  in 90 days
 97.67 90 days 96.87 
about 58.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 694308KB2 to stay above  96.87  in 90 days from now is about 58.05 (This PCG 42 01 MAR 29 probability density function shows the probability of 694308KB2 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PCG 42 01 price to stay between  96.87  and its current price of 97.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 694308KB2 has a beta of 0.0263. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 694308KB2 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PCG 42 01 MAR 29 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PCG 42 01 MAR 29 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   694308KB2 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 694308KB2

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PCG 42 01. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.4997.6798.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.2080.38107.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
95.5096.6897.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
89.2795.23101.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 694308KB2. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 694308KB2's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 694308KB2's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PCG 42 01.

694308KB2 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 694308KB2 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 694308KB2's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PCG 42 01 MAR 29, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 694308KB2 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
1.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

694308KB2 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 694308KB2 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PCG 42 01 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PCG 42 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from investing.com: Park Ohio Holdings VP CFO sells 668 in stock

694308KB2 Technical Analysis

694308KB2's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 694308KB2 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PCG 42 01 MAR 29. In general, you should focus on analyzing 694308KB2 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

694308KB2 Predictive Forecast Models

694308KB2's time-series forecasting models is one of many 694308KB2's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 694308KB2's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PCG 42 01

Checking the ongoing alerts about 694308KB2 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PCG 42 01 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PCG 42 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from investing.com: Park Ohio Holdings VP CFO sells 668 in stock

Other Information on Investing in 694308KB2 Bond

694308KB2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 694308KB2 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 694308KB2 with respect to the benefits of owning 694308KB2 security.