NSC 29 25 AUG 51 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 65.46

655844CL0   63.65  1.76  2.84%   
655844CL0's future price is the expected price of 655844CL0 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NSC 29 25 AUG 51 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 655844CL0 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 655844CL0 Correlation, 655844CL0 Hype Analysis, 655844CL0 Volatility, 655844CL0 History as well as 655844CL0 Performance.
  
Please specify 655844CL0's target price for which you would like 655844CL0 odds to be computed.

655844CL0 Target Price Odds to finish over 65.46

The tendency of 655844CL0 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  65.46  or more in 90 days
 63.65 90 days 65.46 
about 52.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 655844CL0 to move over  65.46  or more in 90 days from now is about 52.85 (This NSC 29 25 AUG 51 probability density function shows the probability of 655844CL0 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NSC 29 25 price to stay between its current price of  63.65  and  65.46  at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 655844CL0 has a beta of 0.0558. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 655844CL0 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NSC 29 25 AUG 51 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NSC 29 25 AUG 51 has an alpha of 0.0079, implying that it can generate a 0.007892 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   655844CL0 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 655844CL0

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NSC 29 25. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
61.5663.6765.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.3254.4370.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
61.1863.2865.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
61.3564.5167.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 655844CL0. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 655844CL0's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 655844CL0's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NSC 29 25.

655844CL0 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 655844CL0 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 655844CL0's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NSC 29 25 AUG 51, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 655844CL0 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.0057

655844CL0 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 655844CL0 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NSC 29 25 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

655844CL0 Technical Analysis

655844CL0's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 655844CL0 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NSC 29 25 AUG 51. In general, you should focus on analyzing 655844CL0 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

655844CL0 Predictive Forecast Models

655844CL0's time-series forecasting models is one of many 655844CL0's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 655844CL0's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NSC 29 25

Checking the ongoing alerts about 655844CL0 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NSC 29 25 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in 655844CL0 Bond

655844CL0 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 655844CL0 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 655844CL0 with respect to the benefits of owning 655844CL0 security.