NESNVX 1875 14 SEP 31 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 81.88

641062AX2   81.84  0.00  0.00%   
NESNVX's future price is the expected price of NESNVX instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NESNVX 1875 14 SEP 31 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NESNVX Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, NESNVX Correlation, NESNVX Hype Analysis, NESNVX Volatility, NESNVX History as well as NESNVX Performance.
  
Please specify NESNVX's target price for which you would like NESNVX odds to be computed.

NESNVX Target Price Odds to finish below 81.88

The tendency of NESNVX Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  81.88  after 90 days
 81.84 90 days 81.88 
about 8.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NESNVX to stay under  81.88  after 90 days from now is about 8.25 (This NESNVX 1875 14 SEP 31 probability density function shows the probability of NESNVX Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NESNVX 1875 14 price to stay between its current price of  81.84  and  81.88  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NESNVX has a beta of 0.0441. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, NESNVX average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NESNVX 1875 14 SEP 31 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NESNVX 1875 14 SEP 31 has an alpha of 0.0131, implying that it can generate a 0.0131 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NESNVX Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NESNVX

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NESNVX 1875 14. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
81.0981.8482.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.4669.2190.02
Details

NESNVX Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NESNVX is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NESNVX's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NESNVX 1875 14 SEP 31, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NESNVX within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

NESNVX Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NESNVX for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NESNVX 1875 14 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NESNVX 1875 14 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

NESNVX Technical Analysis

NESNVX's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NESNVX Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NESNVX 1875 14 SEP 31. In general, you should focus on analyzing NESNVX Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NESNVX Predictive Forecast Models

NESNVX's time-series forecasting models is one of many NESNVX's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NESNVX's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NESNVX 1875 14

Checking the ongoing alerts about NESNVX for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NESNVX 1875 14 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NESNVX 1875 14 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in NESNVX Bond

NESNVX financial ratios help investors to determine whether NESNVX Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NESNVX with respect to the benefits of owning NESNVX security.