NXPI 43 18 JUN 29 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 94.4

62954HAV0   94.40  3.52  3.59%   
62954HAV0's future price is the expected price of 62954HAV0 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NXPI 43 18 JUN 29 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 62954HAV0 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 62954HAV0 Correlation, 62954HAV0 Hype Analysis, 62954HAV0 Volatility, 62954HAV0 History as well as 62954HAV0 Performance.
  
Please specify 62954HAV0's target price for which you would like 62954HAV0 odds to be computed.

62954HAV0 Target Price Odds to finish over 94.4

The tendency of 62954HAV0 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 94.40 90 days 94.40 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 62954HAV0 to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This NXPI 43 18 JUN 29 probability density function shows the probability of 62954HAV0 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 62954HAV0 has a beta of 0.0454. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 62954HAV0 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NXPI 43 18 JUN 29 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NXPI 43 18 JUN 29 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   62954HAV0 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 62954HAV0

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NXPI 43 18. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.8794.4094.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
84.7185.24103.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
92.4793.0093.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
94.3396.9999.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 62954HAV0. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 62954HAV0's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 62954HAV0's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NXPI 43 18.

62954HAV0 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 62954HAV0 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 62954HAV0's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NXPI 43 18 JUN 29, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 62954HAV0 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
1.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.43

62954HAV0 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 62954HAV0 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NXPI 43 18 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NXPI 43 18 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

62954HAV0 Technical Analysis

62954HAV0's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 62954HAV0 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NXPI 43 18 JUN 29. In general, you should focus on analyzing 62954HAV0 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

62954HAV0 Predictive Forecast Models

62954HAV0's time-series forecasting models is one of many 62954HAV0's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 62954HAV0's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NXPI 43 18

Checking the ongoing alerts about 62954HAV0 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NXPI 43 18 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NXPI 43 18 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 62954HAV0 Bond

62954HAV0 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 62954HAV0 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 62954HAV0 with respect to the benefits of owning 62954HAV0 security.