MUFG 5354 13 SEP 28 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 99.82

606822CN2   99.45  2.46  2.41%   
606822CN2's future price is the expected price of 606822CN2 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MUFG 5354 13 SEP 28 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 606822CN2 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 606822CN2 Correlation, 606822CN2 Hype Analysis, 606822CN2 Volatility, 606822CN2 History as well as 606822CN2 Performance.
  
Please specify 606822CN2's target price for which you would like 606822CN2 odds to be computed.

606822CN2 Target Price Odds to finish over 99.82

The tendency of 606822CN2 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  99.82  or more in 90 days
 99.45 90 days 99.82 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 606822CN2 to move over  99.82  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This MUFG 5354 13 SEP 28 probability density function shows the probability of 606822CN2 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MUFG 5354 13 price to stay between its current price of  99.45  and  99.82  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 606822CN2 has a beta of 0.0831. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 606822CN2 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MUFG 5354 13 SEP 28 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MUFG 5354 13 SEP 28 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   606822CN2 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 606822CN2

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MUFG 5354 13. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
99.0799.4599.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
89.4689.84109.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
99.82100.20100.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
98.27100.84103.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 606822CN2. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 606822CN2's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 606822CN2's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MUFG 5354 13.

606822CN2 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 606822CN2 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 606822CN2's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MUFG 5354 13 SEP 28, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 606822CN2 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
1.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

606822CN2 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 606822CN2 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MUFG 5354 13 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MUFG 5354 13 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

606822CN2 Technical Analysis

606822CN2's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 606822CN2 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MUFG 5354 13 SEP 28. In general, you should focus on analyzing 606822CN2 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

606822CN2 Predictive Forecast Models

606822CN2's time-series forecasting models is one of many 606822CN2's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 606822CN2's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MUFG 5354 13

Checking the ongoing alerts about 606822CN2 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MUFG 5354 13 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MUFG 5354 13 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 606822CN2 Bond

606822CN2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 606822CN2 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 606822CN2 with respect to the benefits of owning 606822CN2 security.