MASTERCARD INC Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 78.46
| 57636QAL8 | 77.16 1.81 2.29% |
MASTERCARD |
MASTERCARD Target Price Odds to finish below 78.46
The tendency of MASTERCARD Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 78.46 after 90 days |
| 77.16 | 90 days | 78.46 | about 24.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MASTERCARD to stay under 78.46 after 90 days from now is about 24.94 (This MASTERCARD INC probability density function shows the probability of MASTERCARD Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MASTERCARD INC price to stay between its current price of 77.16 and 78.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MASTERCARD has a beta of 0.25. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, MASTERCARD average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MASTERCARD INC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MASTERCARD INC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. MASTERCARD Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MASTERCARD
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MASTERCARD INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MASTERCARD Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MASTERCARD is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MASTERCARD's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MASTERCARD INC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MASTERCARD within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
MASTERCARD Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MASTERCARD for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MASTERCARD INC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MASTERCARD INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
MASTERCARD Technical Analysis
MASTERCARD's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MASTERCARD Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MASTERCARD INC. In general, you should focus on analyzing MASTERCARD Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MASTERCARD Predictive Forecast Models
MASTERCARD's time-series forecasting models is one of many MASTERCARD's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MASTERCARD's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MASTERCARD INC
Checking the ongoing alerts about MASTERCARD for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MASTERCARD INC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MASTERCARD INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in MASTERCARD Bond
MASTERCARD financial ratios help investors to determine whether MASTERCARD Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MASTERCARD with respect to the benefits of owning MASTERCARD security.