MQGAU 5376057 23 SEP 27 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 100.18
| 55607PAE5 | 100.48 0.00 0.00% |
MQGAU |
MQGAU Target Price Odds to finish below 100.18
The tendency of MQGAU Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 100.18 or more in 90 days |
| 100.48 | 90 days | 100.18 | about 62.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MQGAU to drop to 100.18 or more in 90 days from now is about 62.97 (This MQGAU 5376057 23 SEP 27 probability density function shows the probability of MQGAU Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MQGAU 5376057 23 price to stay between 100.18 and its current price of 100.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MQGAU 5376057 23 SEP 27 has a beta of -0.0308. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MQGAU are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MQGAU 5376057 23 SEP 27 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MQGAU 5376057 23 SEP 27 has an alpha of 0.0405, implying that it can generate a 0.0405 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MQGAU Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for MQGAU
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MQGAU 5376057 23. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MQGAU Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MQGAU is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MQGAU's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MQGAU 5376057 23 SEP 27, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MQGAU within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
MQGAU Technical Analysis
MQGAU's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MQGAU Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MQGAU 5376057 23 SEP 27. In general, you should focus on analyzing MQGAU Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MQGAU Predictive Forecast Models
MQGAU's time-series forecasting models is one of many MQGAU's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MQGAU's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards MQGAU in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, MQGAU's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from MQGAU options trading.
Other Information on Investing in MQGAU Bond
MQGAU financial ratios help investors to determine whether MQGAU Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MQGAU with respect to the benefits of owning MQGAU security.