FIDELITY NATIONAL INFORMATION Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 85.65

31620MBT2   88.24  2.04  2.37%   
FIDELITY's future price is the expected price of FIDELITY instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FIDELITY NATIONAL INFORMATION performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FIDELITY Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, FIDELITY Correlation, FIDELITY Hype Analysis, FIDELITY Volatility, FIDELITY History as well as FIDELITY Performance.
  
Please specify FIDELITY's target price for which you would like FIDELITY odds to be computed.

FIDELITY Target Price Odds to finish below 85.65

The tendency of FIDELITY Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  85.65  or more in 90 days
 88.24 90 days 85.65 
about 43.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FIDELITY to drop to  85.65  or more in 90 days from now is about 43.06 (This FIDELITY NATIONAL INFORMATION probability density function shows the probability of FIDELITY Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FIDELITY NATIONAL price to stay between  85.65  and its current price of 88.24 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FIDELITY NATIONAL INFORMATION has a beta of -0.16. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FIDELITY are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FIDELITY NATIONAL INFORMATION is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FIDELITY NATIONAL INFORMATION has an alpha of 0.0349, implying that it can generate a 0.0349 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FIDELITY Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FIDELITY

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FIDELITY NATIONAL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
86.7888.2489.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.8172.2797.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FIDELITY. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FIDELITY's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FIDELITY's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FIDELITY NATIONAL.

FIDELITY Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FIDELITY is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FIDELITY's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FIDELITY NATIONAL INFORMATION, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FIDELITY within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
2.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

FIDELITY Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FIDELITY for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FIDELITY NATIONAL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FIDELITY NATIONAL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

FIDELITY Technical Analysis

FIDELITY's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FIDELITY Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FIDELITY NATIONAL INFORMATION. In general, you should focus on analyzing FIDELITY Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FIDELITY Predictive Forecast Models

FIDELITY's time-series forecasting models is one of many FIDELITY's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FIDELITY's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FIDELITY NATIONAL

Checking the ongoing alerts about FIDELITY for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FIDELITY NATIONAL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FIDELITY NATIONAL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in FIDELITY Bond

FIDELITY financial ratios help investors to determine whether FIDELITY Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FIDELITY with respect to the benefits of owning FIDELITY security.