FANG 425 15 MAR 52 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 77.83

25278XAT6   79.16  0.06  0.08%   
25278XAT6's future price is the expected price of 25278XAT6 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FANG 425 15 MAR 52 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 25278XAT6 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 25278XAT6 Correlation, 25278XAT6 Hype Analysis, 25278XAT6 Volatility, 25278XAT6 History as well as 25278XAT6 Performance.
  
Please specify 25278XAT6's target price for which you would like 25278XAT6 odds to be computed.

25278XAT6 Target Price Odds to finish over 77.83

The tendency of 25278XAT6 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  77.83  in 90 days
 79.16 90 days 77.83 
about 86.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 25278XAT6 to stay above  77.83  in 90 days from now is about 86.79 (This FANG 425 15 MAR 52 probability density function shows the probability of 25278XAT6 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FANG 425 15 price to stay between  77.83  and its current price of 79.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 25278XAT6 has a beta of 0.24. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 25278XAT6 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FANG 425 15 MAR 52 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FANG 425 15 MAR 52 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   25278XAT6 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 25278XAT6

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FANG 425 15. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.4379.1679.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
78.6379.3680.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
76.3877.1177.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
76.8079.3881.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 25278XAT6. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 25278XAT6's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 25278XAT6's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FANG 425 15.

25278XAT6 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 25278XAT6 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 25278XAT6's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FANG 425 15 MAR 52, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 25278XAT6 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
1.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

25278XAT6 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 25278XAT6 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FANG 425 15 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FANG 425 15 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

25278XAT6 Technical Analysis

25278XAT6's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 25278XAT6 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FANG 425 15 MAR 52. In general, you should focus on analyzing 25278XAT6 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

25278XAT6 Predictive Forecast Models

25278XAT6's time-series forecasting models is one of many 25278XAT6's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 25278XAT6's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FANG 425 15

Checking the ongoing alerts about 25278XAT6 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FANG 425 15 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FANG 425 15 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 25278XAT6 Bond

25278XAT6 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 25278XAT6 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 25278XAT6 with respect to the benefits of owning 25278XAT6 security.