CONSOLIDATED EDISON PANY Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 84.41

209111GA5   84.41  2.27  2.62%   
CONSOLIDATED's future price is the expected price of CONSOLIDATED instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CONSOLIDATED EDISON PANY performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CONSOLIDATED Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, CONSOLIDATED Correlation, CONSOLIDATED Hype Analysis, CONSOLIDATED Volatility, CONSOLIDATED History as well as CONSOLIDATED Performance.
  
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CONSOLIDATED Target Price Odds to finish over 84.41

The tendency of CONSOLIDATED Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 84.41 90 days 84.41 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CONSOLIDATED to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This CONSOLIDATED EDISON PANY probability density function shows the probability of CONSOLIDATED Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CONSOLIDATED EDISON PANY has a beta of -0.0421. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CONSOLIDATED are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CONSOLIDATED EDISON PANY is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CONSOLIDATED EDISON PANY has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CONSOLIDATED Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CONSOLIDATED

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CONSOLIDATED EDISON PANY. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
83.8184.4185.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.9785.0585.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
81.0881.6882.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
80.6584.7988.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CONSOLIDATED. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CONSOLIDATED's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CONSOLIDATED's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CONSOLIDATED EDISON PANY.

CONSOLIDATED Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CONSOLIDATED is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CONSOLIDATED's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CONSOLIDATED EDISON PANY, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CONSOLIDATED within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

CONSOLIDATED Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CONSOLIDATED for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CONSOLIDATED EDISON PANY can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CONSOLIDATED generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

CONSOLIDATED Technical Analysis

CONSOLIDATED's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CONSOLIDATED Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CONSOLIDATED EDISON PANY. In general, you should focus on analyzing CONSOLIDATED Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CONSOLIDATED Predictive Forecast Models

CONSOLIDATED's time-series forecasting models is one of many CONSOLIDATED's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CONSOLIDATED's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CONSOLIDATED EDISON PANY

Checking the ongoing alerts about CONSOLIDATED for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CONSOLIDATED EDISON PANY help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CONSOLIDATED generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in CONSOLIDATED Bond

CONSOLIDATED financial ratios help investors to determine whether CONSOLIDATED Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CONSOLIDATED with respect to the benefits of owning CONSOLIDATED security.