KO 4125 25 MAR 40 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 88.17
| 191216CP3 | 88.22 0.87 1.00% |
191216CP3 |
191216CP3 Target Price Odds to finish over 88.17
The tendency of 191216CP3 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 88.17 in 90 days |
| 88.22 | 90 days | 88.17 | about 89.56 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 191216CP3 to stay above 88.17 in 90 days from now is about 89.56 (This KO 4125 25 MAR 40 probability density function shows the probability of 191216CP3 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KO 4125 25 price to stay between 88.17 and its current price of 88.22 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KO 4125 25 MAR 40 has a beta of -0.4. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 191216CP3 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, KO 4125 25 MAR 40 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally KO 4125 25 MAR 40 has an alpha of 0.0317, implying that it can generate a 0.0317 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). 191216CP3 Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for 191216CP3
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KO 4125 25. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.191216CP3 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 191216CP3 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 191216CP3's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KO 4125 25 MAR 40, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 191216CP3 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.4 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.0003 |
191216CP3 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 191216CP3 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KO 4125 25 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KO 4125 25 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 3 Reasons to Sell ASUR and 1 Stock to Buy Instead |
191216CP3 Technical Analysis
191216CP3's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 191216CP3 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KO 4125 25 MAR 40. In general, you should focus on analyzing 191216CP3 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
191216CP3 Predictive Forecast Models
191216CP3's time-series forecasting models is one of many 191216CP3's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 191216CP3's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KO 4125 25
Checking the ongoing alerts about 191216CP3 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KO 4125 25 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KO 4125 25 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 3 Reasons to Sell ASUR and 1 Stock to Buy Instead |
Other Information on Investing in 191216CP3 Bond
191216CP3 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 191216CP3 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 191216CP3 with respect to the benefits of owning 191216CP3 security.