CHURCH DWIGHT INC Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 95.31
| 171340AN2 | 96.30 0.55 0.57% |
CHURCH |
CHURCH Target Price Odds to finish over 95.31
The tendency of CHURCH Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 95.31 in 90 days |
| 96.30 | 90 days | 95.31 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CHURCH to stay above 95.31 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This CHURCH DWIGHT INC probability density function shows the probability of CHURCH Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CHURCH DWIGHT INC price to stay between 95.31 and its current price of 96.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.39 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CHURCH has a beta of 0.0756. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, CHURCH average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CHURCH DWIGHT INC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CHURCH DWIGHT INC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CHURCH Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CHURCH
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CHURCH DWIGHT INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CHURCH Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CHURCH is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CHURCH's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CHURCH DWIGHT INC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CHURCH within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
CHURCH Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CHURCH for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CHURCH DWIGHT INC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CHURCH DWIGHT INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Retirement Systems of Alabama Reduces Holdings in Church Dwight Co., Inc. |
CHURCH Technical Analysis
CHURCH's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CHURCH Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CHURCH DWIGHT INC. In general, you should focus on analyzing CHURCH Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CHURCH Predictive Forecast Models
CHURCH's time-series forecasting models is one of many CHURCH's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CHURCH's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CHURCH DWIGHT INC
Checking the ongoing alerts about CHURCH for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CHURCH DWIGHT INC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CHURCH DWIGHT INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Retirement Systems of Alabama Reduces Holdings in Church Dwight Co., Inc. |
Other Information on Investing in CHURCH Bond
CHURCH financial ratios help investors to determine whether CHURCH Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CHURCH with respect to the benefits of owning CHURCH security.