CSX P 475 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 97.49

126408GW7   91.54  1.01  1.12%   
126408GW7's future price is the expected price of 126408GW7 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CSX P 475 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 126408GW7 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 126408GW7 Correlation, 126408GW7 Hype Analysis, 126408GW7 Volatility, 126408GW7 History as well as 126408GW7 Performance.
  
Please specify 126408GW7's target price for which you would like 126408GW7 odds to be computed.

126408GW7 Target Price Odds to finish below 97.49

The tendency of 126408GW7 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  97.49  after 90 days
 91.54 90 days 97.49 
about 90.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 126408GW7 to stay under  97.49  after 90 days from now is about 90.0 (This CSX P 475 probability density function shows the probability of 126408GW7 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CSX P 475 price to stay between its current price of  91.54  and  97.49  at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CSX P 475 has a beta of -0.041. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 126408GW7 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CSX P 475 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CSX P 475 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   126408GW7 Price Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.1580.5683.1885.7988.4191.5493.6496.7898.87101.49Current PriceTarget126408GW7 Mean 0.050.100.15
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 126408GW7

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CSX P 475. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
90.4891.5492.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
84.5585.61100.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 126408GW7. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 126408GW7's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 126408GW7's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CSX P 475.

126408GW7 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 126408GW7 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 126408GW7's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CSX P 475, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 126408GW7 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
2.64
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

126408GW7 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 126408GW7 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CSX P 475 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CSX P 475 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

126408GW7 Technical Analysis

126408GW7's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 126408GW7 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CSX P 475. In general, you should focus on analyzing 126408GW7 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

126408GW7 Predictive Forecast Models

126408GW7's time-series forecasting models is one of many 126408GW7's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 126408GW7's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CSX P 475

Checking the ongoing alerts about 126408GW7 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CSX P 475 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CSX P 475 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 126408GW7 Bond

126408GW7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 126408GW7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 126408GW7 with respect to the benefits of owning 126408GW7 security.
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