ACACN 525 01 APR 29 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 97.52

00909DAA1   97.69  0.00  0.00%   
ACACN's future price is the expected price of ACACN instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ACACN 525 01 APR 29 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ACACN Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, ACACN Correlation, ACACN Hype Analysis, ACACN Volatility, ACACN History as well as ACACN Performance.
  
Please specify ACACN's target price for which you would like ACACN odds to be computed.

ACACN Target Price Odds to finish over 97.52

The tendency of ACACN Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  97.52  in 90 days
 97.69 90 days 97.52 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ACACN to stay above  97.52  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This ACACN 525 01 APR 29 probability density function shows the probability of ACACN Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ACACN 525 01 price to stay between  97.52  and its current price of 97.69 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ACACN 525 01 APR 29 has a beta of -0.17. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ACACN are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ACACN 525 01 APR 29 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ACACN 525 01 APR 29 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ACACN Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ACACN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ACACN 525 01. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.9997.6998.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.0382.73107.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.1796.8797.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
98.0099.69101.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ACACN. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ACACN's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ACACN's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ACACN 525 01.

ACACN Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ACACN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ACACN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ACACN 525 01 APR 29, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ACACN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.61
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

ACACN Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ACACN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ACACN 525 01 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ACACN 525 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 20512 shares by Joel Larkin of European Wax at 19.43 subject to Rule 16b-3

ACACN Technical Analysis

ACACN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ACACN Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ACACN 525 01 APR 29. In general, you should focus on analyzing ACACN Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ACACN Predictive Forecast Models

ACACN's time-series forecasting models is one of many ACACN's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ACACN's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ACACN 525 01

Checking the ongoing alerts about ACACN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ACACN 525 01 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ACACN 525 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 20512 shares by Joel Larkin of European Wax at 19.43 subject to Rule 16b-3

Other Information on Investing in ACACN Bond

ACACN financial ratios help investors to determine whether ACACN Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ACACN with respect to the benefits of owning ACACN security.