Ulima Nitra (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 119.24
| UNIQ Stock | IDR 460.00 40.00 8.00% |
Ulima |
Ulima Nitra Target Price Odds to finish below 119.24
The tendency of Ulima Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 119.24 or more in 90 days |
| 460.00 | 90 days | 119.24 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ulima Nitra to drop to 119.24 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ulima Nitra PT probability density function shows the probability of Ulima Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ulima Nitra PT price to stay between 119.24 and its current price of 460.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.67 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ulima Nitra will likely underperform. Additionally Ulima Nitra PT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ulima Nitra Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ulima Nitra
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ulima Nitra PT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ulima Nitra Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ulima Nitra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ulima Nitra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ulima Nitra PT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ulima Nitra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 64.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Ulima Nitra Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ulima Nitra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ulima Nitra PT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ulima Nitra PT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ulima Nitra PT has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Ulima Nitra PT has accumulated 21.03 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.44, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Ulima Nitra PT has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ulima Nitra until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ulima Nitra's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ulima Nitra PT sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ulima to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ulima Nitra's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 318.3 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.47 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.68 B. | |
| About 80.0% of Ulima Nitra outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Ulima Nitra Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ulima Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ulima Nitra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ulima Nitra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 565.4 M |
Ulima Nitra Technical Analysis
Ulima Nitra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ulima Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ulima Nitra PT. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ulima Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ulima Nitra Predictive Forecast Models
Ulima Nitra's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ulima Nitra's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ulima Nitra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ulima Nitra PT
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ulima Nitra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ulima Nitra PT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ulima Nitra PT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ulima Nitra PT has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Ulima Nitra PT has accumulated 21.03 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.44, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Ulima Nitra PT has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ulima Nitra until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ulima Nitra's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ulima Nitra PT sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ulima to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ulima Nitra's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 318.3 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.47 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.68 B. | |
| About 80.0% of Ulima Nitra outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Ulima Stock
Ulima Nitra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ulima Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ulima with respect to the benefits of owning Ulima Nitra security.